MortgageMath
Lending Analysis

12 mistakes people make with mortgage math

Published by MortgageMath Research ยท Verified Amortization Model

Key Takeaway: The recurring errors we see in mortgage math โ€” what causes each one, and the habit that prevents it.

Why the same mistakes keep happening

Most mortgage math errors are not arithmetic errors โ€” they are assumption errors. The formula is right, but the input is idealized: a round number, an optimistic rate, a best-case month. Below are the mistakes behind most bad results, grouped by the calculator where they bite.

Mortgage Payment Calculator (Full PITI)

Budgeting on the P&I quote and discovering taxes and insurance add 30โ€“40% to the payment.

Forgetting PMI exists below 20% down โ€” and that it is cancellable at 20โ€“22% equity (request it; lenders do not always volunteer).

Ignoring HOA dues on condos and planned communities, which act like a second property tax.

Extra Payment Savings Calculator

Sending extra money unmarked, and having it applied as an early regular payment instead of principal reduction.

Making extra payments on a 3% mortgage while carrying 22% card debt โ€” pay the expensive interest first, always.

Draining the emergency fund to pre-pay the mortgage; liquidity protects the mortgage better than equity does.

How Much House Can I Afford?

Budgeting to the lender pre-approval instead of the 28/36 rules โ€” approvals run 10โ€“20% hotter than comfort.

Forgetting that "income" is gross: a 36% DTI on paper is ~45% of take-home for many households.

Leaving closing costs and post-move reserves out of the cash plan.

Refinance Break-Even Calculator

Refinancing on the payment drop alone while term-reset quietly adds a decade of interest.

Ignoring the break-even against a realistic stay-length โ€” "we might move someday" is not a plan.

Rolling closing costs into the loan and paying interest on them for 30 years.

The habit that fixes all of them

Write down the assumption you are least sure about every time you run a number. If the answer matters, test it: change that one input by ยฑ20% and see whether the decision flips. If it flips, the assumption โ€” not the math โ€” is your real problem, and it deserves the research time.

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